Tesla FSD, RoboTaxi, CyberCab etc MegaMarket
➕
Plus
20
Ṁ3038
2026
84%
Will I will be able to get my Tesla model Y 2023 to automatically back out of my driveway to the side of the road by mid 2026
62%
Will I be able to drop my car at the entrance to a garage and have it park by mid 2026 (possibly out of sight lines)
55%
I'll see an Optimus or other Tesla robot in San Mateo CA in public not at the dealership by mid 2028
50%
I'll be able to call a Waymo to my house in San Mateo by mid 2025
47%
Will someone drive across the country in FSD with no human input of any kind by mid 2026
24%
Max configurable speed for self driving will be above 85 by mid 2025
13%
Tesla robotaxi rideable in SF by the public by mid 2025
12%
US Customer takes delivery of Cybercab with no steering wheel by end of 2026
11%
I'll be able to call a fsd Tesla vehicle to my house in San Mateo by mid 2025

Any tests will be done:

  • With my model Y 2023

  • With fsd paid for

  • At my current slanted not easy driveway or equivalent

All of this is regarding tesla FSD

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I got FSD13 a few days ago and it's pretty awesome & seems way more aware of what's going on, and doesn't tailgate as much when people merge in closely in front of me. Not 100% following my preference to keep more distance, but compared to FSD12, more than 50% of the remaining driving problems areas are gone now. e.g. FSD12 was about 90% perfect, and FSD13 is above 95%

@Ernie gonna need a lot more than one nine of correctness to get across the country without help 😆

@DavidFWatson bet ya

By my comment I meant that even me, a big booster, was surprised that over 50% of the remaining small base area got fixed in this update

I can regularly go very far with no critical disengagements, and let it run through many more environments now

@Ernie Based on context, this is specifically a market about Tesla's FSD?

@DavidFWatson Yes will update desc

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