There will be a company which offers LLM or AI-based arbitration by 2030 | Manifold

There will be a company which offers LLM or AI-based arbitration by 2030

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2030

82%

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i.e. a service where if you agree, you will promise that in the event of a dispute, you and others will submit information to an LLM/AI system for evaluation of the dispute.

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bought Ṁ10 YES

Will somebody build it? Yep. Will it be good? Probably not the first one, at least.

https://x.com/gallabytes/status/1822020815287939567

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If there is a company offering such a service prior to 2030 and it fails completely and burns to the ground, would this resolve YES since the service was offered?

predicts YES

@whenhaveiever yes as long as it was a real service it would count

Manifold in the wild: A Tweet by EBFrench

Using LLMs for legal arbitration - this seems like a great idea (although potentially could go wrong). A good enough AI could be more trustworthy than humans. #ManifoldMarkets https://manifold.markets/StrayClimb/there-will-be-a-company-which-offer https://t.co/FOugagwVi8

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Related questions

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Will Google have a better LLM than OpenAI by 2025?

Will a home grown LLM developed by Chinese company be competitive by end of 2025?

An AI will bindingly arbitrate a dispute in the United States before 2027

Will a LLM-based AI be used for a law enforcement decision before 2025?

Will a substantial number of legal arbitrations use an ai arbitration by January 1, 2029?

Which company will have the best LLM by the end of 2024?

Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?

Who will be ahead in the AI/LLM war by the end of 2024?

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