Will a US president be removed from office early for any reason through 2036?
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39
Ṁ1452
2037
42%
chance

IE not spending the normal time in office for any reason including resignation, illness, change in the law, or any other reason, based on the laws as of 2023

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Does a temporary leave based on illness under the 25th amendment count (e.g. when President George W. Bush underwent a colonoscopy in 2002 and 2007)?

predicts YES

@DanielParker I believe that's a pretty regular iccurance and is a temporary absence rather than a removal. I've heard similar things often happen to cabinet level posts, and would not be described as being removed from office.

The claim is about a term ending early, with no plans to resume.

Does death count?

@TobyBW any reason counts

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