Nuclear War 2025: How many of the linked markets resolve Yes?
Premium
5
Ṁ1612Jan 2
62%
0
13%
1
4%
2
4%
3
4%
4-5
4%
6-8
5%
9-12
4%
13-17
From these three markets, counting the sub-questions individually:
/IsaacKing/will-any-nuclear-weapon-be-detonate-c8fe71e2c9cf
/EvanDaniel/which-countries-will-detonate-a-nuc-xh4ms2fck1
/EvanDaniel/will-nuclear-weapons-cause-at-least
This is a derivative market; it will resolve exactly according to the resolution of the underlying markets.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Nuclear Risk 2024 + noise: How many of the 11 linked markets resolve Yes?
Nuclear War 2024: How many of the linked markets will resolve Yes?
Nuclear Risk 2025: How many of the 7 linked questions resolve Yes?
Nuclear risk 2024: How many of the 8 linked questions will resolve Yes? [Unlinked Format]
Will there be a nuclear exchange between countries before 2025?
3% chance
Nuclear risk 2024: How many of the 8 linked questions will resolve Yes?
Will any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?
70% chance
Will there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?
69% chance
This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030
49% chance
Which countries will increase the size of their nuclear warhead stockpile in 2025?