The Cougar is a large cat native to the Americas. This market will resolve YES if the Cougar is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not declared extinct by the IUCN in 2100.
Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cougar
IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessment: Least Concern
https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/18868/97216466
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The range of cougars is huge, stretching from Argentina to Canada, and is expanding. A tremendous amount would need to go wrong for them to go extinct - they inhabit mountains, deserts, jungles, swamps, etc. If all of these biomes become uninhabitable to such an adaptable species (and they can't expand into newly-inhabitable range), the IUCN is probably extinct too...