Will the Javan Rhinoceros (Rhinoceros sondaicus) become extinct in the current century?
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Plus
10
Ṁ168
2099
83%
chance

This market is about the extinction risk of the Javan Rhinoceros species in the current century. The market will resolve YES if the Javan Rhinoceros is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Javan_rhinoceros

IUCN red list of threatened species

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/19495/18493900

Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.

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Save the Rhino: World Rhino Day 2023: New numbers and challenges

https://www.savetherhino.org/africa/world-rhino-day-2023-new-numbers-and-challenges/

Mongabay: To help beleaguered Javan rhinos, study calls for tree felling, captive breeding

https://news.mongabay.com/2023/12/to-help-beleaguered-javan-rhinos-study-calls-for-tree-felling-captive-breeding/

Here a first comparison of the extinction risk of 20 species, for which I have set up markets yesterday and today. I have classified them in ten risk classes.


0-9%: Ultra Low Risk

None

10-19%: Low Risk

None

20-29%: Minor Risk

Chimpanzee

30-39%: Moderate Risk

Bonobo, Black Rhinoceros, Lion

40-49%: Substantial Risk

White Rhinoceros, Asian Elephant, African Savanna Elephant, Western Gorilla, Tiger, Leopard, Jaguar

50-59%: Significant Risk

Indian Rhinoceros, African Forest Elephant, Sumatran Orangutan, Eastern Gorilla, Snow Leopard

60-69%: High Risk

Tapanuli Orangutan, Bornean Orangutan

70-79%: Severe Risk

Sumatran Rhinoceros

80-89%: Critical Risk

Javan Rhinoceros

90-100%: Ultra High Risk

None

Mongabay: Indonesia reports a new Javan rhino calf, but population doubts persist

https://news.mongabay.com/2023/10/javan-rhino-calf-endangered-species-ujung-kulon-indonesia/

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