@FUTURESEARCH can you clarify what the resolution source will be PRECISELY? The ourworldindata site you linked:

1) Doesn't provide the total amount of renewable energy consumption as an absolute value, just a share of total energy consumption. (this is important)

2) Hasn't even updated to 2023 yet and likely won't update 2024's numbers until late 2025.

3) It's not clear whether you mean increase by 10% as in "increase from 500 megajoules to at least 550 megajoules", or increase by 10% as in, "increase from 11% of global consumption to 21% of global consumption".

Also important to note is that renewable energy CONSUMPTION is very different than renewable energy GENERATION (for which more concrete data is given at the link you provided).

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 80%, market is 73%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 80%, market is 73%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 90%, market is 73%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 85%, market is 74%.

Buying NO shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 65%, market is 74%.

Buying NO shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 70%, market is 74%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 80%, market is 74%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 90%, market is 73%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 80%, market is 73%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 90%, market is 73%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 95%, market is 73%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 90%, market is 71%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 90%, market is 71%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 75%, market is 71%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 90%, market is 71%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 80%, market is 70%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 90%, market is 70%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 95%, market is 70%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 75%, market is 70%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 75%, market is 66%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 80%, market is 66%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 85%, market is 66%.

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 90%, market is 66%.