Which countries will have regions declare and gain recognised independence by the end of 2100?
Basic
9
αΉ3992100
15%
Russian Federation
14%
United States of America
15%
People's Republic of China
0.8%
Brazil
2%
India
5%
Canada
5%
Spain
17%
United Kingdom
25%
Other
This market will resolve at the end of 2100 based on available data and verifiable sources when the following conditions are set for a country:
A distinct region within the country must declare and gain its independence.
At least one other sovereign nation must officially recognize the independence of this region.
The declaration and recognition must occur before the end of 2100.
Market for 2030: https://manifold.markets/FlorinSays/which-countries-will-have-regions-d
Market for 2100: https://manifold.markets/FlorinSays/which-countries-will-have-regions-d-8684478bf61d
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Which countries will have regions declare and gain recognised independence by the end of 2050?
Which countries will have regions declare and gain recognised independence by the end of 2030?
Will there be a new country before 2028?
77% chance
Which of the following independence movements will be successful before 2030?
Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030?
81% chance
Will any part of pre-2014 Russia territory become an internationally recognized independent state by the end of 2040?
49% chance
Will a new Country be recognized by the UN before 2030?
78% chance
Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?
75% chance
Will the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030
26% chance
Will any country adopt a superaligned constitution by 2040?
43% chance