Will a new Country be recognized by the UN before 2030? | Manifold

Will a new Country be recognized by the UN before 2030?

Plus

30

Ṁ1563

2030

78%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES, if the country is added here: https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/newest-countries or a similar official website, and is officially recognized by the United Nations, otherwise resolves NO.

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How many UN-member countries will recognize Somaliland’s independence by July 1, 2024?

predicts YES

@TrickyDuck https://manifold.markets/TrickyDuck/how-many-unmember-countries-will-re?r=VHJpY2t5RHVjaw

Arbitrage with: https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-there-be-a-new-internationally

Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030?

81% chance. Must be largely undisputed. The most recent one as of market creation was South Sudan in 2011.

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