In what year will the construction of the first space elevator begin?
Basic
15
Ṁ7622999
2067
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Already wrote this comment on another post, but by the time we have the technology to build a space elevator for earth, we probably don't need one. Lots of options exist that are both easier to build and get you the equivalent outcomes (or better), like
Rotovators / skyhooks
Lofstrom Loops
Mass Drivers
Tethered Rings
Elliptical Orbital Ring Networks
Some scaled up version of spinlaunch
Barring some perfect space elevator material being invented tomorrow, I don't foresee a future where its a competitive option.
@FranklinBaldo The problem isn't numeric markets, the problem is that you made the top end of the range the year 3000, despite everyone wanting to bet on numbers less than 2100.
Related questions
Related questions
When will the construction of the first space elevator begin?
In what year will the construction of the first space elevator begin?
2065
In the year 2100, will construction have begun on a lunar space elevator?
33% chance
Will there be a space elevator before 2060? Earth or Lunar
20% chance
Will we have a terrestrial space elevator by 2150?
25% chance
In what decade will we have space elevators
Will there be a space elevator by 2050?
20% chance
Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2070?
30% chance
Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2075?
35% chance
Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2065?
23% chance