
How dramatic is Manifold? High percentage is high drama, low percentage is low drama, based on vibes. This market will never resolve.
Should represent the current level of drama, and I will distribute mana bonuses to users who update it in a direction that seems correct.
You can set up 1 mana limit orders to get notified when drama happens!
The market is unranked and unsubsidized.
I reserve the right to resolve N/A if this market structure winds up being dumb, but I don’t expect to.
People are also trading
the pivot has begun pivoting and many of the Discord channels have been full of frantic questions and speculation and complaints again, nonstop since mid-afternoon 😅 feels notably more dramatic today
@Eliza Actually, might be a good idea to N/A this with whatever assistance might be required, before N/A is completely banned.
Participants in this market are delusional. The entire mana economy is being upended and there is some kind of mysterious announcement coming 'soon' and it's only 44%!!??!?!
I sure hope people are not taking out their realized gains and P R O F I T I N G on the chaos instead of giving a true picture of your drama rating.
@AbhinavSrinivas This market is not really designed for profit and the only way it will ever resolve is N/A.
@acc TBH you don't belong in this market, we're trying to make a needle to show how dramatic Manifold is, not trying to trade for profits. Now you've gone and messed up my probability.
/jacksonpolack/will-anyone-manage-to-get-openai-so-06adaa9f20c8
This market is going to be hilarious and it's trading at 50%. Bought some Yes (in this one...)