How dramatic is Manifold? High percentage is high drama, low percentage is low drama, based on vibes. This market will never resolve.
Should represent the current level of drama, and I will distribute mana bonuses to users who update it in a direction that seems correct.
You can set up 1 mana limit orders to get notified when drama happens!
The market is unranked and unsubsidized.
I reserve the right to resolve N/A if this market structure winds up being dumb, but I don’t expect to.
the pivot has begun pivoting and many of the Discord channels have been full of frantic questions and speculation and complaints again, nonstop since mid-afternoon 😅 feels notably more dramatic today
@Eliza Actually, might be a good idea to N/A this with whatever assistance might be required, before N/A is completely banned.
Participants in this market are delusional. The entire mana economy is being upended and there is some kind of mysterious announcement coming 'soon' and it's only 44%!!??!?!
I sure hope people are not taking out their realized gains and P R O F I T I N G on the chaos instead of giving a true picture of your drama rating.
@AbhinavSrinivas This market is not really designed for profit and the only way it will ever resolve is N/A.
@acc TBH you don't belong in this market, we're trying to make a needle to show how dramatic Manifold is, not trying to trade for profits. Now you've gone and messed up my probability.
/jacksonpolack/will-anyone-manage-to-get-openai-so-06adaa9f20c8
This market is going to be hilarious and it's trading at 50%. Bought some Yes (in this one...)