What will happen before 2050? (Mega market)
Basic
8
1.7k
2050
69%
Manifold shuts down.
15%
Worldwide carbon neutrality is achieved.
60%
China's GDP surpasses that of the United State
28%
A worldwide pandemic kills at least 2% of the human population in a single year.
66%
(Nominal) worldwide GDP reaches 500T USD.
55%
Mana gets devalued (compared to USD) again (donation rate used 1000M:0.95USD).
90%
This market reaches 100+ traders.
51%
This market reaches 250+ traders.
37%
This market reaches 500+ traders.
31%
This market reaches 1000+ traders.
81%
This market reaches 50+ answers.
54%
Someone gets a (Manifold) networth of 1B+ mana.
72%
organs for transplantation are mostly artificial/laboratory grown for the biological humans
57%
A human walks on Mars.
69%
This market reaches 50k in total volume.
39%
An ASI trades on, adds an option to, or comments on this market.
20%
@GastonKessler goes to space.
38%
Elon Musk goes bald a second time.
33%
A billionaire CEO successfully buys a country.
69%
This market reaches 100+ answers.

Feel free to add answers!

If you don't want to add an answer because of the cost, suggest an answer in the comments and I'll tip you 10-50 mana if I think it's good + more if it does really well.

If a question can't be resolved objectively, it will be resolved according to a poll.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
reposted

If you don't want to add an answer because of the cost, suggest an answer in the comments and I'll tip you 10-50 mana if I think it's good + more if it does really well.

"An ASI trades on, adds an option to, or comments on this market"

" @GastonKessler goes to space"

"A billionaire CEO successfully buys a country"

"Elon Musk goes bald a second time"

bought Ṁ10 This market reaches ... YES

Trying to turn this into a 2050 Mega market.

This market reaches 100+ traders.

@GastonKessler this wont get 100+ or 250+ traders if you don't share it or make it more visible ... make it more visible, you can do it ... :)

I've reposted it to my... 7 followers, I hope that will get a few traders/creators . If you want to help growing this into a bigger market, feel free to add answers!