Will the German government declare a state of emergency ("Notlage") for the 2024 budget?
Standard
21
Ṁ744Dec 31
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the German government declares a state of emergency ("Notlage") to circumvent the debt brake for the 2024 budget. This includes any supplementary budget for the year 2024.
Resolves NO in all other cases.
This is NOT about next year’s budget (2025) that will probably passed before in November or December of this year.
I will not bet in this market.
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1,000
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