![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252F4RtnMGkyYL.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D17e258a3-721b-4557-a9e8-347b090338a5&w=3840&q=75)
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
https://x.com/tsarnick/status/1803901130130497952
"Mira Murati: GPT-3 was toddler-level, GPT-4 was a smart high schooler and the next gen, to be released in a year and a half, will be PhD-level"
transcript is less direct:
And then in the next couple of years, we're looking at PhD-level intelligence [...]
[Interviewer] Meaning like a year from now?
Yeah, a year and a half, let's say.
@TobiasH As of 1708866021 Gigacasting is liking Tobias' comment, so I view this as a declaration that a successor to GPT-4 that is not called GPT-5 would not be sufficient to resolve this market YES.
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FKLr30QVdX0.png?alt=media&token=225d1422-b7dd-40f4-aef0-ae3445386b26)
More related questions
Related questions
Will GPT-5 launch before 1 January 2025?
30% chance
Will GPT-5 be released for public usage before January 1st, 2025?
34% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Aug 2024?
4% chance
When will GPT-5 be released? (2025)
43% chance
Will GPT-5 be announced in 2024?
46% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jan 2025?
38% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Feb 2025?
58% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Dec 2024?
25% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Oct 2024?
12% chance