Who will be the largest players in self-driving in 2030? | Manifold

Who will be the largest players in self-driving in 2030?

40

1.2kṀ2818

2031

36%

Waymo

33%

Tesla

19%

Other

7%

BYD

1.4%

Zoox

1.3%

Toyota

1.1%

Apple

Miles driven, regardless of “level of autonomy”; will resolve to the top-3 players based on their relative market share.

Self-Driving Vehicles

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Is this supposed to be US only?

@DavidFWatson same question. China already has self-driving taxi between cities (Shenzhen-Guangzhou)

If level of autonomy doesn't matter, shouldn't GM or Toyota be higher than Tesla? GM and Toyota drive cars drive far more miles per year than Teslas.

@Gigacasting If "level of autonomy" doesn't matter, what does this question have to do with self-driving at all? I should buy GM just because they sell the most generic cars.

Yes the title absolutely should be changed. Currently very misleading

14,000 cabs in New York (1 per 1000 people)

92% of households own cars and not into

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Will at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?

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Which company will win the self-driving car race?

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major city before 2030?

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Will more than 50% of cars sold in 2030 in the US have self driving capabilities (SAE level 3)?

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