Who will be the largest players in self-driving in 2030?
Plus
24
Ṁ13452031
60%
Waymo
16%
Tesla
15%
Cruise
5%
3%
Zoox
Miles driven, regardless of “level of autonomy”; will resolve to the top-3 players based on their relative market share.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025?
73% chance
Which company will facilitate the greatest number of autonomous vehicle rides in 2030?
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major city before 2030?
70% chance
Will at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?
37% chance
Which car brands will start selling self-driving cars in 2024?
Will autonomous driving rideshares exceed human-driven rideshares by the start of 2030 (in the US)? [Ṁ1500 subsidy]
37% chance
Will Tesla serve more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?
17% chance
Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?
22% chance
Will at least half of new cars sold in 2038 in the US be fully autonomous?
47% chance
Will a fully autonomous, Level 5 self driving car be available for purchase in the US by the year 2040?
74% chance