Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before basic AGI?
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Plus
39
Ṁ1572
2101
63%
chance

including tests; metaculus definition

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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@traders this is a notoriously inactive creator -- I suggest we extend the resolution date to 2100. I'm going to do that now, but if you have a strong and compelling consensus opinion that this should not be done, you could try to convince it to close at the end of 2023 instead.

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