Will the Twitter Turing Test be passed by 2028?
Basic
3
Ṁ502028
62%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Language model that produces tweets in the style/content of top accounts that are indistinguishable from real ones
Current status: ~1-10% are plausible
No requirement of time-matching or local trends; nor replies/etc.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
60% chance
Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?
57% chance
Will the Twitter Turing Test be passed by 2025?
68% chance
Will the Twitter Turing Test be passed by 2030?
87% chance
Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
51% chance
Will AI pass Video Turing Test by 2030?
69% chance
Will a smart agent pass our Turing test by the end of 2025?
59% chance
Will any model pass an "undergrad proofs exam" Turing test by 2027?
77% chance
Will Twitter collapse by the end of 2030?
35% chance
Will AI pass the Bob Ross Turing Test by 2035?
70% chance