This market is a direct copy of a market from Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/iran-nuke-by-july-31/iran-nuke-by-july-31?tid=1713287316208). The resolution of this market will mirror the resolution of the original market.
The description of the original market:
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET."
Get แน600 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?
37% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?
40% chance
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
53% chance
Will an Iranian nuclear facility be bombed by 2025?
37% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?
53% chance
Will Iran declare that they are a nuclear power by the end of 2024?
24% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
26% chance
Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before 2026?
31% chance
Will Iran reach the 'weapons-grade' uranium enrichment threshold before 2025?
51% chance
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by July 20 2024?
27% chance