Will the total number of Giving What We Can pledges made in 2024 be higher than in 2022?
Basic
16
𝕊200
Dec 31
6%
chance

As per https://dashboard.effectivealtruism.org/public/question/a8499095-be16-46fe-af1f-e3e56ee04e88, or another data source if this one becomes unreliable.

This is asking about the number of official pledges made during that year, not made up until that year.

Note the years, this is comparing 2024 to 2022, not to 2023.

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bought 𝕊2.00 NO

Currently standing at

2022: 1513 pledges
2024 YTD: 501 pledges

Disclaimer: I downloaded the CSV and asked chatgpt to compute this; I did not check its work

@diracdeltafunk As of today it's 594 (again by chatGPT and I did not check its code)

bought Ṁ500 NO

this refers to the actual pledge, not the trial pledge, right?

sold Ṁ264 NO

@Ziddletwix Correct, only the_pledge. Aggregate number for all months of 2024 vs 2022.

Any thoughts on why signups are currently looking weak for 2023?

@ElliotDavies Bad reputation for EA?

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