
Will a manned interstellar mission be launched before January 1, 2060?
25
1kแน26162059
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Criteria for Resolution:
Manned Interstellar Mission: The mission must be a spaceflight with human crew members on board (hibernated or mind uploaded humans qualify).
Interstellar Destination: The mission's destination must be beyond the dominating influence of the Sun's gravity, typically considered to be beyond the heliosphere.
Launch: The mission must be officially launched, meaning the spacecraft has left Earth's atmosphere and is on a trajectory intended to take it to interstellar space.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will the first Starships to Mars launch before 2027?
40% chance
Will there be a manned interstellar mission before 2250?
75% chance
Will an interstellar mission to alpha centauri be launched before 2040?
6% chance
Will there be a manned outer planets mission before 2100?
69% chance
Will an interstellar mission to Alpha Centauri be launched by 2100?
63% chance
Will a manned mission successfully land on the moon before December 31, 2025?
2% chance
Will there be a government-backed manned mission to Mars that returns to Earth before the end of 2040?
44% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2060?
47% chance
Will a manned mission to Mars be launched by the year 2030?
11% chance
Will Starship conduct a manned launch before 2025?
1% chance