At the end of 2024, what prediction market will have the most daily active users?
Plus
29
Ṁ3218Jan 2
24%
Manifold Markets
73%
Polymarket
0.4%
Kalshi
0.3%
BTE's unnamed upcoming prediction market
0.4%
PredictIt
0.8%
Metaculus
0.9%
Anyone can add answers. Duplicate answers will be ignored.
Average DAU's over the past month, to avoid overindexing on brief spikes.
If the platform doesn't publish their DAUs, I'll take my best guess.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
70% chance
Will people care about prediction markets by 2025?
30% chance
Will r/PredictionMarkets have more than 100 members by the end of 2024?
50% chance
Which prediction markets will win?
At the end of 2024, will any prediction markets have a clear lead over the others?
Which one is the most accurate prediction market? (2024)
Which one is the most enjoyable prediction market? (2024)
Which one will be the most popular market by the end of 2024
Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?
Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?
32% chance
Which one is the most enjoyable prediction market? (2025)