By April 2025, will there be an AI that at least 1 million people trust for medical advice?
19
Ṁ6492025
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Inspired by https://twitter.com/morphillogical/status/1635646604274180097
Includes one that existed before April and then went away.
Must be trusted enough for people to make serious decisions based off of, not just the same way they use Google.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
68% chance
In 2028, will at least 350,000 (1/1000) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
75% chance
Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care before 2030?
30% chance
In 2028, will any major hospital advertise the use of AI as the primary method of diagnosis of human patients?
34% chance
Will over 50% of households in any developed country use an AI assistant for daily decision-making by the end of 2030?
45% chance
In 2028, will at least 3.5m (1/100) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
66% chance
Will AI replace doctors by 2050?
36% chance
Will AI be regularly used to diagnose complex diseases by 2028?
32% chance
Will AI take over most mental health therapy jobs by end of 2030?
32% chance
In 2028, will at least 35m (1/10) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?
24% chance