By the end of 2050, will it be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations? | Manifold

By the end of 2050, will it be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations?

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By 2050, it will [] be possible to increase a healthy adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations in less than 30 days.

One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions.

Resolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions. (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Does it require the treatment being worth >=2 std on 100% of people who haven't had it? Or would increasing any adult's IQ by that much count?

What about treatments that work on 10% of the population? And 1%

See also the negated version of this question:

(It's the exact same question, I'm just curious which title phrasing gets more interest.)

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Related questions

By the end of 2050, it will not be possible to quickly increase an adult human’s IQ by at least two standard deviations

Is there a genetic contribution of at least 50% to the black/white IQ gap in 2023? [Resolves to the popular consensus in 2060]

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging?

By 2025, will most well-educated people expect AI to within 10 years be better at intellectual work than 99% of humans?

When will there be a confirmation* of an adult human, whose IQ score was improved by 15 by gene-editing?

Will there be an affordable non-invasive way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 25+ points before 2030?

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

Will there be an affordable non-invasive way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 50+ points before 2030?

Will there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?

Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 25+ points with under $200k before 2030?

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