If Manifold gives me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year? | Manifold

If Manifold gives me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?

Basic

9

Ṁ333

2030

57%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Specifcally, the comparison is MAU's at the time of the grant compared to MAU's exactly 1 year later.

I made the title about me because I want this to reflect "people with opinions similar to mine about the correct growth strategy for Manifold to take". In practice I'd be asking for advice from several other users and it'd be more of a grassroots activity than a solo one. If Manifold provides such a grant to a group of users that includes me, I'll count that as satisfying the condition.

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You work at manifold now?

@BTE I do not, it's just an idea. The idea arose in a discord conversation earlier today. (Not about me specifically, just about better ways in which Manifold could advertise.)

See this conversation on Discord for context: https://discord.com/channels/915138780216823849/946575585923194880/1165760584785080392

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