In what year will mainstream personal computers first be advertised as "quantum"?

Quantum Computing

Mini

Ṁ125

2100

ALL

24%

Other

2030

2060

1.1%

2025

0.2%

2020

1.1%

2022

2023

44%

2050

13%

2049

Resolves based on the marketing for relatively inexpensive computers targeted at non-technical users. They don't have to actually *be* quantum computers, it could just be marketing nonsense. A single instance is not sufficient to resolve this market, it needs to a consistent feature of marketing by a large company comparable to what Apple or Microsoft is today. Answers should be a year number, such as "2030". If multiple people submit answers for the same year and that year ends up winning, I'll choose the answer that was submitted first.

Get Ṁ600 play money

Related questions

When will Quantum computing become viable?

2032

When will we get personal quantum computers? 🖥️

Will there be a quantum computer with 100,000 functioning qbits before 2035?

67% chance

Will a quantum computer factor a 6-bit number before 2026?

27% chance

Quantum computer based in organic chemistry is created by 2050

32% chance

Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?

45% chance

In what year will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems? (before 2030)

2028

Will a quantum computer with at least 1500 qubits be announced before the end of 2030?

74% chance

Will IBM produce a functional 100,000 qubit quantum-centric computing system by 2033?

21% chance

Will a quantum computer perform a calculation by 2026 that is impossible for any classical supercomputer?

Sort by:

Iran Unveils ‘Quantum’ Device That Anyone Can Buy for $589 on Amazon

What Iran’s military called “the first product of the quantum processing algorithm” of the Naval university appears to be a stock development board.

Hmm, interesting. I think those count as isolated instances, not mainstream enough for me to resolve. Still, it shows that this could happen much sooner than I expected. I wonder if I should only be counting things that seem like they're actually trying to make people think there's something quantum going on (like all the quantum annealing hype that got presented as true quantum computing), and exclude obvious buzzword titles like those.