What organization will first create superintelligence?
Plus
19
Ṁ5732100
24%
OpenAI
4%
Anthropic
15%
DeepMind
23%
xAi
6%
Meta AI
28%
Subsidiaries will resolve to the "main" organization.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@IsaacKing then it should be no problem to define what do you mean by this.
Anyways, the principal issue for this market is not merely whether it exists, but how to judge who achieved it.
Related questions
Related questions
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
38% chance
Who first builds an Artificial General Intelligence?
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?
70% chance
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030?
36% chance
Which AI will be the first to space? OpenAI?
Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2050?
78% chance
Will there be less than a year between the first AGI and the first superintelligence?
39% chance
Which company will create AGI first?