Will any country leave the EU before 2028?
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Ṁ1424
2028
5%
chance

Only counts events after market creation. What matters is the date of actually leaving, not the date of deciding to leave.

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Does this mean "trigger article 50", which the UK did in March 2017, or "leaving takes effect", which happened in January 2020?

@BrunoParga Leaving takes effect.

I assume this means "aside from Britain who's left it already"?

@EvanTh Yes.

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