Will anyone die at least 1000km from Earth before 2030?
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35
Ṁ1589
2030
17%
chance

If it's unknown where exactly the death occurred, there must be a >=50% chance it occurred at least that far away.

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predicts NO
predicts NO

@StevenK This is extremely clever.

In 60 years of spaceflight, there have been a total of thirteen fatal accidents, only one of which occurred "in space". These accidents have been getting less frequent over time. Rate of people going above 1000km also not very high.

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