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Will at least half of new cars sold in 2038 in the US be fully autonomous?
Basic
21
Ṁ6662039
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions.
Resolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions. (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)
Get Ṁ600 play money
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