![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252FM4HeywhRbq.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D3cc452ac-1877-4fb6-b4cf-2ba8c7e1ab6b&w=3840&q=75)
Will solar become the primary source of electricity in the US before 2040?
Basic
34
Ṁ1.8k2040
54%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"Primary" means that it generates more than any other method. It doesn't have to be over 50%.
Includes both panels and power towers.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will solar power on Earth dominate renewable energy consumption before 2031?
74% chance
Will the U.S. get 5% of its energy from solar before 2025?
70% chance
Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?
19% chance
Will solar PV become the largest source of power by 2028?
19% chance
Will renewable energy sources pass coal power plants as world's largest electricity source in 2024?
34% chance
Will primary energy consumption in the US decrease by 2050?
52% chance
Will a majority of US electricity production come from non-fossil fuel sources before the end of 2026?
31% chance
Will fusion provide >10% of US electrical power by 2100?
48% chance
What will be the sources of non-fossil-fuel energy production in the United States in 2040?
Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power by 2100?
54% chance