When will the current Israel-Hamas War end?
➕
Plus
26
Ṁ7688
Jan 1
1.8%
Before March
0.8%
March or April
0.7%
May or June
0.8%
July or August
1.2%
September or October
95%
November or later

When will the current Israel-Hamas War in the Gaza strip end? Low-intensity conflict with the two exchanging rockets like before the war counts as peace for the purpose of this question.

To deal with ambiguities over the exact end date, I will use the decision of the English Wikipedia page "2023 Israel-Hamas War" in order to determine the end date. Specifically, I will use the date section of the wikibox.

The wikipedia page is protected, so vandalism is very unlikely, but just in case, obvious vandalism will not be counted.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Israel–Hamas_war

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

@JS_81 I think this can resolve to "November or later" now

it seems no need to w8 until JAN-25, it can be resolved @JS_81

bought Ṁ50 November or later YES

Presumably everything before June can resolve to no

I think the resolution criteria are pretty unambiguous, but I won't trade on my own market just to be sure.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules