Marine Le Pen, the leader of France’s Rassemblement National (RN) party, is on trial over charges of embezzling European Parliament funds in a scheme involving allegedly fake parliamentary jobs.

Prosecutors allege that between 2004 and 2016, Le Pen and other RN members hired parliamentary aides using EU funds, while these aides primarily worked for the party itself, rather than performing parliamentary duties.

The prosecution have requested a five-year ban from holding elected office. a five-year prison sentence and a fine for RN of two million euros.

Le Pen and her defense team deny all allegations, claiming there was no wrongdoing, and that the case is politically motivated.

Link: Le Monde

This market will resolve after issuance of a verdict in the current trial, as reported by at least two major news sources (e.g. Le Monde, Politico, NYT, BBC).

It will resolve positively ("YES") if a guilty verdict is issued at any time before January 1, 2026. This includes guilty verdicts resulting in conditional discharges, partial guilt, and suspended sentences.

If a not guilty verdict—either dismissal ("non-lieu") or acquittal ("acquittement")—is issued, the market will resolve negatively ("NO").

If a retrial or appeal alters the initial verdict, the original resolution remains.