Kalshi recently won a case against the CTFC, overturning the CTFC's block on Kalshi election markets (CFTC Order Blocking Kalshi Election Bets Overturned by Judge (1) (bloomberglaw.com)). On their landing page, Kalshi now proudly announces "Election Markets are coming to Kalshi!"

How much traction will these markets get?

The highest volume market currently on Kalshi politics is a little under $1.5 million. Their overall volume leader is a Federal Reserve market with around $4.5 million. Polymarket, however, has seen about $845 million and counting wagered on their presidential election winner 2024 market.

This market will resolve at a randomly chosen time between 8am and noon Eastern on Monday, November 4th, so that market participants will not have their mana tied up over election day. I will not wager in the market. I will use only data from Kalshi itself. "Election Markets" are defined as markets that show up when a user clicks on the "Election Markets" tab, if one exists, otherwise I will use my own best judgement. If Kalshi closes its highest volume market before November 4th for any reason, its total volume will still count for the purpose of this question.

The "Other" answer for this question will always be the answer that is higher volume than all other buckets. If "Other" steadily trades high, I may divide it into additional defined ranges.

Update: Kalshi has now made elections.kalshi.com entirely seperate from regular Kalshi, including different deposits. To honor the spirit of the question and also honor the earlier clarification, "Election Markets" will count any market on elections.kalshi.com, plus the "How Many Presidential Debates This Year" question.