How do you differentiate specifically AI from everything else? We don't have a test world where nobody is using stastics and linear algebra and the contributions are likely to be very diffuse as it makes certain steps faster.

It's like asking how much GPUs have extended human lifespan right now.

@LiamZ I believe that once we see a significant extension of human lifespan (20 years or more), it will be quite clear whether it was enabled by AI-driven innovations rather than traditional methods. Let's discuss it then, once the milestone is reached and we can better evaluate the key factors behind it.

It will probably shorten our lifespans tbh

Is extending the average life expectancy sufficient, or extending the maximum recorded age? I suspect the average life expectancy could be extended ~20 years now, if every citizen was forced to eat low-calorie vegan meals after childhood, forced to exercise daily, forced to get 8 hours of sleep, etc. [All that fun stuff. /s]

Major definition/measurement problems:

Are you waiting 20 years to confirm (or just when scientists expect/agree it "should")? If the latter, will you use the date of some rollout threshold or the date of invention?

What does "average" mean - that these improvements have been rolled out to more than half of global population (or just that it could work for most people)?

Do you have a cost threshold implied by "average"?

@JamesBaker3 Thank you for highlighting these important considerations.

By "average," I am referring to the subset of individuals who have had access to and benefited from the AI-driven innovation, rather than the global population as a whole. The goal is to evaluate the quality and effectiveness of the technology itself, independent of its widespread rollout.

Regarding the timeline, I agree that waiting 20 years to confirm the lifespan extension is not practical (and may actually take even longer). Instead, a widely accepted conclusion that the applied method has led to observable changes in a test group, which are expected to result in lifespan extension, would be sufficient. I'm open to suggestions for further refinement of this approach.

Only one option resolves yes, right?

@TheAllMemeingEye Yes, I am referring to the first instance when the lifespan is extended. I believe this extension will be significant enough to enable further advancements, eventually leading to continuous lifespan extensions and, ultimately, immortality.