When will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4?
Mini
6
314
2026
1.3%
Q3 2023
2%
Q4 2023
18%
Q1-Q2 2024
31%
Q3-Q4 2024
28%
2025
11%
2026
9%
Other

"Better" is a moving target since LLMs tend to be compared on large suites of tasks and datasets, and over time the consensus of effective benchmarks changes.

But the question will resolve positively if it shows matching or better performance on at least 3 benchmarks that are reasonably standard at the time and somewhat general purpose (not specialized on maths, coding or some other narrow class of reasoning).

Open-source means that both the code and the weights are openly available, regardless of the license.

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:

@JonEzeiza bro, if u r referring to GPT-4-0314, we already have several open source models better than it

which GPT-4 variant are you inferring to?

Q3 should resolve to no by now, right?

More related questions