When a model named GPT-5 is released, all options resolve NO.
When a model named matching an option is released, it resolves YES.
At end of 2025, all options resolve 50%.
You can add options.
Resolution is by name, not by expectation or capability.
"GPT-5" is not literal. "GPT-5", "GPT 5", "GPT 5.0" all match. But there has to be a "5" somewhere. If it's named "GPT-Next" but described as "fifth generation of the GPT series" I'll accept that as GPT-5. But there has to be a 5 either in the name or in the release article unambiguously designating it.
"Next frontier model after GPT-4" is not clear enough. There must be a "5".
Slight variations of the others are also accepted("Gemini 2" vs. "Gemini-2.0" but not "Gemini 1.5 Ultra" or "Gemini Next").
@MichaelWheatley It's going to have to have at least a "5" in it. I'm tempted to write a literal regex, but I would allow "GPT 5" vs. "GPT-5" vs. "GPT-5.0" and I don't want to overconstrain it.
But if it's "GPT-Next" I'm going to exclude that.