Will xAI develop a more capable LLM than GPT-5 by 2026
Plus
32
Ṁ30562026
59%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if xAI releases an LLM that is more capable than GPT-5 before January 1st 2026.
Whatever the standard performance benchmark test at the time is will be the test.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Google mostly catch up to OpenAI in LLM quality and neutralize ChatGPT's lead by the end of 2024?
19% chance
Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?
26% chance
Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before the end of 2024?
13% chance
Will xAI release an LLM with BIG-Bench score as good as GPT-4 Turbo before the end of 2024?
76% chance
Will there be an open source LLM as good as GPT4 by the end of 2024?
68% chance
Will there be a OpenAI LLM known as GPT-4.5? by 2033
35% chance
Will there be an open source LLM as good as GPT4 by June 2024?
18% chance
Will Google have a better LLM than OpenAI by 2025?
31% chance
Which next-gen frontier LLMs will be released before GPT-5? (2025)
Will an open-source LLM beat or match GPT-4 by the end of 2024?
82% chance