Will xAI release an LLM with BIG-Bench score as good as GPT-4 Turbo before the end of 2024? | Manifold

Will xAI release an LLM with BIG-Bench score as good as GPT-4 Turbo before the end of 2024?

Plus

49

Ṁ26k

Dec 31

76%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

xAI is Elon Musk's new AI startup, founded in Mar 2023. It's rumored that they have already bought thousands of GPUs. Musk probably has the capital and charisma to poach top engineers. https://www.theverge.com/2023/4/14/23684005/elon-musk-new-ai-company-x

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

reposted

Cool question!

bought Ṁ100 YES

Well they claim Grok 2 beats gpt 4 turbo on mmlu. We will need to wait for API access to do an evaluation on big bench.

I think the question should specify the GPT-4 version.

@HannesLynchburg agreed

some clarity would be good. I've been assuming gpt4's release version.

@HannesLynchburg GPT-4 Turbo

https://www.ft.com/content/19cce4b5-b2dd-4c1e-a109-b500e504dbb6

Subscribe to read | Financial Times

News, analysis and comment from the Financial Times, the worldʼs leading global business publication

@RyanKidd Paywalled, what does it say?

Related questions

Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?

+10% 1d48% chance

Will there be an open source LLM as good as GPT4 by the end of 2024?

Will there be an open source LLM as good as GPT4 by June 2024?

Will there be a OpenAI LLM known as GPT-4.5? by 2033

Will xAI have the most powerful AI by December 2024?

Will any LLM outrank GPT-4 by 150 Elo in LMSYS chatbot arena before 2025?

-6% 1d13% chance

Will xAI develop a more capable LLM than GPT-5 by 2026

Will an open-source LLM beat or match GPT-4 by the end of 2024?

Will any open source LLM with <20 billion parameters outperform GPT-4 on most language benchmarks by the end of 2024?

Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?

Related questions

Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?

Will any LLM outrank GPT-4 by 150 Elo in LMSYS chatbot arena before 2025?

Will there be an open source LLM as good as GPT4 by the end of 2024?

Will xAI develop a more capable LLM than GPT-5 by 2026

Will there be an open source LLM as good as GPT4 by June 2024?

Will an open-source LLM beat or match GPT-4 by the end of 2024?

Will there be a OpenAI LLM known as GPT-4.5? by 2033

Will any open source LLM with <20 billion parameters outperform GPT-4 on most language benchmarks by the end of 2024?

Will xAI have the most powerful AI by December 2024?

Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules