When will the first quadrillion parameter LLM be made? | Manifold

When will the first quadrillion parameter LLM be made?

Plus

17

Ṁ730

2030

4%

2023-2024

22%

2025-2026

25%

2027-2028

11%

2028-2029

38%

2030+ or never

Any LLM with at least 1 quadrillion parameters. Resolution will be delayed if there isn't public clarity about the number of parameters and it's close.

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