Will the best LLM in 2026 have <500 billion parameters?
Plus
15
Ṁ1952026
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Conversational LLM
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the best LLM in 2024 have <1 trillion parameters?
30% chance
Will the best LLM in 2024 have <500 billion parameters?
15% chance
Will the best LLM in 2026 have <1 trillion parameters?
40% chance
Will the best LLM in 2025 have <500 billion parameters?
25% chance
Will the best LLM in 2027 have <1 trillion parameters?
28% chance
Will the best LLM in 2025 have <1 trillion parameters?
38% chance
Will the best LLM in 2027 have <500 billion parameters?
14% chance
Will the best LLM in 2027 have <250 billion parameters?
12% chance
Will any open source LLM with <20 billion parameters outperform GPT-4 on most language benchmarks by the end of 2024?
13% chance
When will the first quadrillion parameter LLM be made?