Will any US Presidential candidate get more than 97% of the electoral vote by 2100?
Plus
12
Ṁ8262101
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The last time this happened was Ronald Reagan in 1984: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1984_United_States_presidential_election
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
If the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reaches 50%+ of the electoral votes and that is a major reason to reach 97% I assume it’s still a yes?
@JonathanRay Tho if state legislatures have plenary power to appoint electors in contradiction to the state’s voters (which would be required for the legality of the NPVIC) then it would be legal for trump in 2020 to lobby state legislatures to appoint alternate electors. Dems gotta pick a lane on that one.
Related questions
Related questions
Will voter turnout in the 2024 US Presidential Election exceed 65%?
54% chance
Will a single third party candidate receive 2% or more of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
2% chance
Will any candidate get a majority of the popular vote in 2024?
85% chance
Will the elected President be the first candidate to reach 60%?
99% chance
Will any candidate win a majority of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
73% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 U.S. Presidential election win more than 300 electoral college votes?
50% chance
Will the 2024 US presidential election be within 200,000 votes (for electors to the Electoral College)?
7% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 U.S. Presidential election win more than 350 electoral college votes?
15% chance
What percentage of the pop. vote will each candidate receive in the 2024 US Presidential Election? [3350 in subsidies]
Will the winner of the 2024 U.S. Presidential election win more than 325 electoral college votes?
19% chance