In what year will the number of Starship launches exceed the number of Falcon launches?
➕
Plus
13
Ṁ1018
2041
32%
2024-2026
34%
2027-2028
20%
2029-2030
14%
After 2030 / never

The number of Starship family rocket launches must exceed the number of Falcon family launches. Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy, and any future variations of Falcon are included; Starship cargo, tanker, test, crew, HLS, depot, and any future variations are included.

All option brackets are inclusive; the total number of Starship family launches in the selected year must be greater than (not equal to) Falcon family launches.

This will close on the first day of the next year after the condition is met.

2023:

2 Starship launches

96 Falcon launches

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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Just checking that it is 'in the same calendar year'.
i.e. not when Starship first does more than the record annual number of falcon launches.

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