Universal Death Market - Which public figures will die before 2025? [Unlinked Free Response]
➕
Plus
382
Ṁ250k
Jan 2
5%
Eva Marie Saint
4%
Bill Clinton
4%
Jean-Marie Le Pen
4%
TSwift's cat (Benjamin Button) (from the 2023 POTY cover)
4%
Axl Rose
4%
Grigori Perelman
4%
Geoffrey Hinton
4%
Donald Knuth
4%
Mahmoud Abbas
3%
Lech Wałęsa
3%
Bashar al-Assad
3%
Tenzin Gyatso, the 14th Dalai Lama
3%
Harrison Ford
3%
Julian Assange
3%
Sonny Rollins
3%
Vladimir Putin
3%
Kim Jong Un
3%
Ramzan Kadyrov (47)
3%
Bob Dylan
3%
Mick Jagger

Feel free to submit the names of any living public figures you think people would be interested in knowing the odds of survival for. Any duplicates or non-public-figures will be N/A-ed. If someone on this list has died, I will resolve their name to YES. At the end of 2024, all remaining names will resolve to NO.

#Death markets
#Jimmy Carter
#Long-term multi-choice fun markets
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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bought Ṁ50 YES

In the event of a very large asteroid collision with earth, or all-out nuclear war, do all these resolve to yes?

reposted

@Joshua He is a goner! No way he is making it through all this.

@Joshua

ohh - rest in peace, queen 🧡

bought Ṁ100 NO

Maybe add:

Princes Beatrix, former queen of The Netherlands (86)

sold Ṁ0 NO

@Joshua Ismail Haniyeh and Mohammed Deif are confirmed dead at this point though multiple outlets

Comment hidden

Deif can resolve

https://www.timesofisrael.com/hamas-military-wing-commander-deif-killed-in-gaza-strike-last-month-idf-confirms/

bought Ṁ30 YES

https://open.substack.com/pub/yashar/p/breaking-hamas-leader-ismail-haniyeh?r=1g6wqt&utm_medium=ios

RIP Bob 🫡 🧡

👀

Oh wow first time I've seen Wikipedia jump the gun on a "was"

😐🔫

sold Ṁ59 NO

We've been Noam-ed

bought Ṁ500 YES

I mean honestly, he's 95 and had a massive stroke. It's not looking good for making it through 2024.

bought Ṁ2,881 YES

@Joshua

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Noam_Chomsky

Misresolve? Seems to have been changed back

Ugh

An article said he died and then changed its title and removed mentions of his death

I literally waited for the Wikipedia update because other sources are full of shit lol rip2me

Jimmy Carter is a tank wrapped in a decent man's clothes. He just reached 99 and 2/3 yrs old! 17 days away from his 100 day countdown to 100.

Jimmy gang stays winning

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