Taiwan 2024: Lai Ching-te's Inauguration Mega-Market
Basic
18
Ṁ2915
resolved Jun 1
Resolved
YES
No other answer resolves YES
Resolved
NO
PLAAF intercepts civilian aircraft flying to Kinmen or Matsu
Resolved
NO
Diplomatic ally flips
Resolved
NO
Physical collision between Taiwanese and Chinese military vessels
Resolved
NO
Biden makes or releases official statement congratulating Lai Ching-te
Resolved
NO
Taiwan established diplomatic relations with 'new' country***
Resolved
NO
MND reports 50+ PLA aircraft cross median line in single day
Resolved
NO
Lai declares Republic of Taiwan
Resolved
NO
China attacks outlying island*
Resolved
NO
Former US president visits Taiwan
Resolved
NO
Current US Senator visits Taiwan
Resolved
NO
An earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or more
Resolved
NO
Taipei announces Chinese tour groups can visit Taiwan
Resolved
NO
Lai or Tsai visits Itu Aba
Resolved
NO
King Charles III releases statement congratulating President Lai
Resolved
NO
Taiwan announces new representative office in country currently without one
Resolved
NO
Lai wears green tie****
Resolved
NO
Beijing announces individual Chinese tourists can visit Taiwan
Resolved
NO
European Head of Parliament visits Taiwan**

Which of these events will happen within one week of his inauguration on May 20th?

(13th to 27th inclusive)

*Includes Itu Aba and Pratas

**Head of a house of the parliament of a European country

***new=not on this list of countries the ROC has official relations with on March 28th 2024

****This only applies during the inauguration itself

*****According to the CWA app

#China Taiwan potential conflict
#🇹🇼 Taiwan
#Taiwan Domestic Politics
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@JoshuaWilkes please resolve

@HandasonTam will get to this soon, apologies

An earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or more

We had two 5.9s this evening ~

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