Will China open a military facility in the Chagos Islands before 2040?
Basic
1
Ṁ1002040
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any permanently occupied facility within the archipelago
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
36% chance
Will China announce a second military base in Africa by the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
49% chance
Will China announce a deal to build a naval base in the Western hemisphere by 2025?
9% chance
Will China occupy the Second Thomas Shoal before 2025?
15% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026?
62% chance
Will the PLA begin development of a naval base in the Western Hemisphere by the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
34% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
40% chance