Will Russia have a successful peaceful transition of power from Vladimir Putin to the next ruler(s)?
Basic
13
Ṁ4592075
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
@JuJumper Aha, so it's less that he's required to hand it off, and more that the power scramble afterwards does not get too violent.
(Might be good to operationalize "peaceful"; I'd be mildly surprised if no-one would die or get imprisoned or exiled, and also fairly surprised if it got to publicly-declared clashes.)
@mxxun Something like "no internal armed fights for power, and no control lost of any region previously controlled".
Related questions
When will peaceful democratic transition of power happen in Russia for the first time?
Will the "bald-hairy" pattern of Russian rulers continue after Putin?
62% chance
Who will lead Russia after Vladimir Putin leaves power?
Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
60% chance
Will Putin die in office?
69% chance
Who will be the next President of Russia, after Vladimir Putin? (fixed)
(10k subsidy) 1 year after Putin, who will be the apparent leader of Russia?
Will the next leader of Russia after Putin be married at the time of taking control of leadership?
68% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2029?
57% chance
Will the next leader of Russia after Putin be Russian Orthodox?
64% chance