Yet another superconductor market. Criteria:
"Room temperature" (above 0C)
"ambient pressure" (below 1 megapascal, i.e. less than 10 atmospheres)
is proven to be a superconductor of some classification
is either NOT CuO25P6Pb9 or is a different isomer or allotrope than the synthesized material called "LK-99"
nonetheless is clearly based on the strategy of combining lanarkite with copper phosphide and baking it, using at least 3 of 4 of lead oxide, lead sulfate, copper, and phosphorus, at no less than 500C
Resolution is decided independently of whether LK-99 is proven to have superconducting properties.
Here is the report from the Sukbae Lee (L in LK99 presentation).
The class of room temperature and room pressure superconductors is real.
He and other researchers have formed a corporation and the success of the company and its patents is the priority.
IBM is the first company to start discussions.
Sukbae Lee believes the China groups have successfully reproduced the sample.
They have a video detecting zero resistance.
Sukbae Lee and his team are confident
APL materials review process : Ongoing
Patent registration: Ongoing
Why no samples and data? -> We are a corporation. Patent.
We are going to be proved by other researchers
There are still instabilities and other issues to be worked through.
There are currently limitations around a narrow range of magnetic fields.
Both Korea and China researchers added Sulfur to get the positioning of copper to be more consistent which is already different from the original LK99.
Note that my "superconductor of some classification" definition here will continue to use the "strict sense", only changing if the definition of superconductors change (which... itself would be interesting) as opposed to the slightly weaker "practical superconductor" definition I offer in these markets:
nonetheless is clearly based on the strategy of combining lanarkite with copper phosphide and baking it, using at least 3 of 4 of lead oxide, lead sulfate, copper, and phosphorus, at no less than 500C
the simulation papers suggest using gold or silver instead of copper could result in similar/better characteristics, would that count ?
@Odoacre "3 of 4" means that if it's, say, a combination of lead oxide, lead sulfate, phosphorus, and gold, then yes.
This should not be trading higher than the market on if there will be any instance before 2030
https://manifold.markets/AaronLehmann/will-a-roomtemperature-atmospheric
@sylv I drew the arbitrary cutoff point at 500C to disqualify a material that is only synthesized by means that do not require high thermal energy sources: no pouring crystals out of weird vats of goo in relatively "cool" conditions. Obviously if it has two routes of synthesis and one is "hot" but the other is "cool" it still qualifies.
@JordiCervera The novel substance that would answer "YES" to this must itself have definitive replicated proof of being a superconductor and reasonable agreement in the scientific community. It also has to NOT be LK-99. You certainly make an interesting point, however! I'm sure this market's appearance is totally unrelated to the claims regarding "Iris-23" and it's purely coincidental.