Conditional on any room-temp superconductor being replicated before 2025, will the main LK-99 market resolve YES?
Plus
16
Ṁ2250Dec 31
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves N/A if no room-temp, ambient-pressure superconductor is discovered and successfully replicated
Main LK-99 market:
https://manifold.markets/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?
1% chance
If LK-99 is confirmed to be a superconductor, will it produce more than 100 million USD by 2025?
21% chance
Will a room-temperature superconductor with a similar-but-different composition to LK-99 be discovered by 2025?
1% chance
[100x Fine] Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?
97
Will a room-temperature, ambient-pressure superconductor (LK-99, or other) be discovered before 2025?
1% chance
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2026?
2% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?
56% chance
Will LK-99's manufacturing process inspire a new room temperature superconducting material by 2025?
2% chance
Nobel Prize by 2026 if LK-99 superconductor replicates?
66% chance
Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room temp superconductivity in LK-99?
2% chance