Will Pierre Poilievre win his seat in the 2025 Canadian election?
14
100Ṁ1032Apr 28
86%
chance
7
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pierre Poilievre is officially declared the winner of the Carleton riding in the 2025 Canadian federal election. Official election results from Elections Canada will be used to determine the outcome. If Poilievre does not win his seat, the market will resolve to "No."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
What will be the outcome of Canada's 2025 federal election?
Will Jagmeet Singh win his seat in the 2025 Canadian election?
7% chance
Will the Pope win the 2025 Canadian Federal Election?
3% chance
Will Elizabeth May win her seat in the 2025 Canadian election?
43% chance
Will the popular vote winner in 2025's Canadian federal election win the most seats?
80% chance
[Metaculus] Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?
14% chance
Pierre Poilievre loses his own House seat in this election?
13% chance
Pierre Polievre loses his seat in the election?
27% chance
Will Pierre Poilievre win the 2025 Canadian federal election?
15% chance
Will Pierre Poilievre become Canada’s prime minister before the conclusion of the 2025 Stanley Cup Final?
2% chance