Will the UK have a measles outbreak of 10k cases or more before 2028? | Manifold

Will the UK have a measles outbreak of 10k cases or more before 2028?

23

1kṀ366

2028

39%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://www.gov.uk/government/news/london-at-risk-of-measles-outbreaks-with-modelling-estimating-tens-of-thousands-of-cases

the UK

London at risk of measles outbreaks with modelling estimating tens of thousands of cases

UKHSA modelling suggests that, unless MMR vaccination rates improve, London could see a measles outbreak with tens of thousands of cases.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

https://paulmainwood.substack.com/p/measles-where-are-cases-going

Related questions

Will there be a prion disease outbreak in the United States before 2028 that kills more than 24 people?

Will another outbreak on par with covid-19 happen within the decade.

Will the UK reinstate any COVID-related entry requirements before 2025?

Will monkeypox appear to be a seasonal illness, with more occurrence in summer than winter, by the end of 2024?

Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?

Will there be more 5000 cases of Measles in US before 2024 US Elections?

Will a human-created pathogen infect at least 10,000 people by 2030?

[Metaculus] Will a new VOC-classified covid variant cause at least 20k daily hospitalizations in US before July 1, 2025?

Related questions

Will there be a prion disease outbreak in the United States before 2028 that kills more than 24 people?

Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?

Will another outbreak on par with covid-19 happen within the decade.

Will there be more 5000 cases of Measles in US before 2024 US Elections?

Will the UK reinstate any COVID-related entry requirements before 2025?

Will a human-created pathogen infect at least 10,000 people by 2030?

Will monkeypox appear to be a seasonal illness, with more occurrence in summer than winter, by the end of 2024?

[Metaculus] Will a new VOC-classified covid variant cause at least 20k daily hospitalizations in US before July 1, 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules